Nette Zusammenstellung:
http://www.dallasbasketball.com/fullColumn.php?id=499
Teams Under the Cap - ie, with clear over-MLE spending room (4)
LA Clippers ... Tons of cap room to start, with Brand and Maggette both opting out and Livingston's QO declined. 6 players signed to return, a high pick, and 5 empty roster slots puts them at $33M, BDavis reported numbers should start at about $11M, leaving them about $14M. The rest probably goes to Brand?
Golden State ... BDavis' opt out and apparent deal with LAC leaves the Warriors with lots of spendable room and choices. They have 5 contracts @ 29M, 2 picks and 3 priority cap holds (Biedrins, Ellis, Azuibuike) totaling another 12M, so with empty roster slot holds they are still only at about 42M with room for a max player if they want one.
Memphis ... They sit at about $50M counting draft picks, with a nearly full roster. Given their financial woes, we think they are far more likely to pursue a trade using their glut of young PGs, rather than spend money in free agency.
Philadelphia ... Including returning players, roster slots, picks, and cap holds for both Igoudala and L WIlliams, the 76ers will still have about 12-13M in spendable cap room.
ANALYSIS
We'll figure BDavis and Brand to LAC, and Jamison and Arenas to Washington. We'll also assume Memphis won't be a player in free agency.
That leaves the following pool of money chasing the following pool of talent:
Golden State ... can spend 16M and then sign Biedrins and Ellis last
Philly ...can spend 13M and then sign Igoudala and Williams last
Everybody else ... MLE or less
Balance of notable players to spend it on (we've erased BDavis, Brand, Jamison, Arenas, Biedrins, Ellis, Iggy, LWilliams)
Unrestricted:
DeSagana Diop, Kwame Brown, Jason Williams, Mikhael Pietrus, Bonzi Wells, Ricky Davis, Kurt Thomas, Corey Maggette, PJ Brown, Sam Cassell, James Posey,
Chris Duhon, Devean George, Jarvis Hayes, Theo Ratliff, Eddie Najera, Matt Barnes, Patrick O'Bryant, Dikembe Mutombo, Quinton Ross, DJ Mbenga, Bostjan Nochbar, Chris Andersen, Jannero Pargo, Maurice Evans, Gordon Giricek, Brian Skinner, James Jones, Brent Barry, Michael Finley, Robert Horry, Francisco Elson,
Beno Udrih, Malik Allen
Restricted: Josh Childress, Josh Smith, Emeka Okafor, Luol Deng, Ben Gordon, Nenad Krstic, Ryan Gomes, Craig Smith,
Jose Calderon, Ronny Turiaf, Daniel Gibson, Delonte West, JR Smith, Carl Landry, Sasha Vujacic, CJ Miles
(Complete list:
http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/news/story?page=2008freeagents )
While in theory only a couple of players can get over-MLE deals, the presence of two teams with over-MLE money to grab anyone who is lowballed by their old team is likely to force teams to consider sign-and-trades if they can't reach agreement with their own players.
Nevertheless, in total it looks to be a buyer's market. Those 50 free agents above will be chasing two teams with big money, plus a slew of MLEs. Teams near the tax line might decide to not spend their MLE at all.
Ich habe mal die Spieler markiert, die mehr oder weniger bereits vom Markt sind.
